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Roe v. Wade and the Inevitable Explosion of Health Tourism

In early May, a leaked draft from the U.S. Supreme Court indicated the Court would soon overturn Roe v. Wade. Notably, this made headlines because it was the first time a preliminary Court ruling had been made public. But likewise, the assumed verdict sent shock waves throughout the nations. The nearly 50-year-old ruling that banned abortions at a federal level may soon come to an end. And as a result, states are already positioning themselves along ideological lines based on their view of abortion rights. Once the dust settles, it’s expected that half the states will have legislation in place that makes abortions illegal.

Regardless of whether one views this turn of events as favorable or not, changes in obstetrical care are inevitable. For women in states banning abortion rights, their only option will be to seek such services in abortion-permissive states. It’s therefore obvious that medical tourism among states will increase substantially. But this type of medical tourism is not the norm, and many notable barriers exist. This is particularly true for women with limited income or resources. How the nation deals with this new version of medical tourism will be quite interesting. And a handful of states are already taking action in this direction in preparation the future.

“If you look back through history, [women have] always done this. Women will need to travel to states that make these [abortion] services available, and already Connecticut and California have decided they’re going to be haven states…” – Dr. Ellen Wright Clayton, Law Professor and Pediatrician

Medical Tourism and Interstate Obstacles

While women have the choice to travel other states that advocate for abortion rights, barriers do exist. The most notable one typically involves cost. Seeing an obstetrician in another state involves travel costs and usually lodging arrangements. At the same time, some health insurers do not pay for out-of-state services. That means interstate medical tourism typically requires out-of-pocket expenses that may be prohibitive. While it may seem as easy as driving across a state line, there’s more involved than that. And for those with limited income, out-of-state services may not be an option.

Cost and travel are not the only limiting factors, however. In the aftermath of the pandemic, there remains significant delays in receiving some healthcare procedures. In many places, abortions are among those experiencing delays in scheduling. Even with the financial resources available for medical tourism, access to a physician may still limit a woman’s choices. In addition, there remains a shortage of medical providers in the country, and this includes obstetricians and gynecologists. Given these challenges, many women will find it hard to pursue their abortion rights in a nearby state.

(Dive into how medical staffing shortages are forcing providers to explore their options in this Bold story!)

“There is definitely an urgency to get some of these things in place and get prepared, because this is happening regardless of whatever timeline our legislature is on. We are doing everything we can to make sure we are as ready as we can be.” – Lisa Matsubara, General Counsel and VP of Policy for Planned Parenthood Affiliates of California

State Strategies to Promote Medical Tourism

Over the course of the last year, many state legislatures have anticipated the Supreme Court overturning Roe v. Wade. Some states like Texas and Oklahoma have already passed laws banning abortion at early gestation. Many others have what is known as “trigger laws,” which ban abortion as soon as the Supreme Court overturns the case. But at the same time, other states in favor of abortion rights are also taking action. Seeing medical tourism as an answer to the issue, their state legislatures are moving in opposite directions. For many women, these efforts will make it much easier to seek care in states in favor of abortion rights.

A tiny plane, some passports and a stethoscope
The debate over abortion rights is heating up–and it’s going to make medical tourism hotter than ever.

Several states have gone on record already as saying they wish to be a safe haven for women seeking abortion rights. California is perhaps among the most vocal with its ongoing efforts to pass new legislation. Senate Bill 1142 in California seeks to establish an Abortion Practical Support Fund for low-income, out-of-state women. Grants would be administered by the Commission on the Status of Women and Girls in the state. Likewise, Oregon has also set up a $15 million fund to provide financial assistance for women seeking abortion from out-of-state. Clearly, these actions attempt to offset cost and insurance barriers. And these same states plan to boost provider training and recruitment as well to support the assumed medical tourism coming.

“There are some centers here in Las Vegas where you can go and get a safe [abortion] procedure. They’ll end up driving here… So yes, I would imagine it would depend on what the other states do.” – Dr. Joseph Adashek, OB/GYN, Desert Perinatal, Las Vegas

A Broader Picture of the Issue

It should also be recognized that medical tourism in general is quite a lucrative practice. Prior to the pandemic, 1.4 million Americans traveled to other countries annually for medical procedures. Likewise, U.S. hospitals and providers earn billions of dollars from foreign travelers. Extrapolate that to a state level, it’s not surprising that some states see a ban on abortion rights as a financial opportunity. For states favoring abortion rights, the economics will provide incentives that will drive policy changes. Investments made now could prove even larger in the years to come if interstate medical tourism thrives.

In considering interstate medical tourism, the last few years have been rather enlightening. The COVID pandemic forced the nation, and perhaps the world, to finally embrace telemedicine and telehealth. Prior to this, interstate obstacles were in the way that prevented widespread use. Today, however, changes in policies and laws now enable these practices. Providers with specific expertise now routinely patients who live out-of-state. While the abortion rights issue is more complicated in theory, it’s not beyond reason to expect similar solutions will emerge. States in favor of medical tourism for abortions will certainly strive to find the answers.

 

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BOLD OPINION: Please Don’t Let Robots Control Our Military

Neural networks, predictive analytics, and artificial intelligence have the potential to greatly advance society in many ways. By applying algorithms to massive data sets, these technology tools could improve both speed and accuracy in decision-making. But should these technological wonders be utilized everywhere? Or are there some areas that should be off limits? While artificial intelligence is superior in many ways, its use raises some ethical concerns. This is particularly relevant in terms of the use of artificial intelligence in military decision-making.

(Dig into an ethical discussion over the use of AIs, clones and more in this Bold story.)

While there have been some connections between AI and the military, its role has been limited. But that looks to be changing as the use of artificial intelligence in military settings may be increasingly considered. Specific events in recent years, especially those involving mass casualties, have fueled notions about its potential benefits. Proponents see the use of AI and military outcomes being a move in the right direction. But others are worried such use could lead to not only bad results but unethical practices overall. Given that the military looks to be on the verge of such actions, exploring this subject in greater depth is certainly worthwhile.

“DARPA envisions a future in which machines are more than just tools. The machines DARPA envisions will function more as colleagues than as tool.” – Statement released by DARPA’s AI Next Program

DARPA, AI and the Military

For decades, the Defense Advanced Research Project (DARPA) has been responsible for some amazing technological innovations. Developed under President Eisenhauer, DARPA is responsible for developing the Internet, GPS, weather satellites, and much more. In fact, DARPA has explored the use of artificial intelligence in military operations for years. But only recently has the technology surrounding AI use facilitated its advancement. This has now led to the creation of the AI Next program in 2018, which has received roughly $2 billion in funding. Thus, AI and the military has a longer history than many appreciate. And it’s about to expand significantly in the coming years.

The current program involving AI and the military is called “In the Moment.” The purpose of this program is to outsource decision-making away from military commanders and toward AI systems. Given that many military situations are complex and stressful, many support the use of artificial intelligence in military determinations. In the process, they suggest AI could remove human biases that often exist, resulting in better choices. With this in mind, DARPA plans to advance the use of artificial intelligence in military defense. In fact, over 60 projects are being considered in this regard. Overall, the program is expected to take place over the next 3.5 years and utilize both private and military expertise.

“[The complexities of many military situations] wouldn’t fit within the brain of a single human decision-maker. Computer algorithms may find solutions that humans can’t.” – Matt Turek, DARPA Program Manager overseeing the In the Moment program

Applications for AI Use in the Military

The impetus for exploring AI and the military use of related algorithms involves situations that pose high-levels casualty threats. These may involve small unit casualties, such as those involving special operations forces. Alternatively, mass casualty events are also being contemplated as potential use of artificial intelligence in military decision-making. And future uses might also involve situations where major disaster relief is needed. These represent the type of complex circumstances where experts believe AI and human interactions could help. Rather than overwhelming military commanders, AI would leverage large datasets to offer the best solutions.

A robot asking some pointed questions
AI and the military: a match made for James Cameron movies.

One of the major challenges for military commanders in these types of situations is processing vast amounts of information. Without question, this is a major advantage of AI. The use of artificial intelligence in military settings already benefits from these capacities. But expanding this to high-level decisions would be new. Proponents offer examples where AI could better assess available resources in catastrophic instances. Healthcare supplies, staffing and medication information could be analyzed in relation to geographic events. In the process, this would enable better triage selections based on data instead of gut instinct. For those encouraging AI and military integrations, this reflects their ideal vision.

“We know there’s bias in AI; we know that programmers can’t foresee every situation; we know that AI is not social; we know AI is not cultural. It can’t think about this stuff.” – Sally A. Applin, Applin, Anthropologist expert in AI ethics

An Array of Ethical Concerns

When it comes to AI and the military, many have expressed worries about the choices being made by a machine. Putting algorithms in place can benefit straightforward decision-making, but what happens when moral dilemmas exist. For example, would civilians or military be prioritized in terms of triage when injuries are comparable? While the use of artificial intelligence in military situations is supposed to eliminate bias, this may not be the case. Its use in other situations has certainly demonstrated the presence of built-in bias. Thus, using a machine may not be any better than allowing those who constructed it to make choices.

The use of artificial intelligence in military decision-making takes away the advantages of common sense and instinct. These human decision-making strategies are based on experience rather than hard facts and figures. And they’re certainly prone to error. But that doesn’t mean algorithms and datasets are always better either. Sometimes, facts may need to be ignored. In addition, using a machine to make complex choices poses problems with responsibility and accountability. If an outcome is poor, who’s to blame? Does the buck stop at the top or with the coder and algorithm experts? These issues as well as an over-reliance on AI to always make the final determination are serious concerns that need further exploration.

AI and the Military – An Adjunct, Not an Authority

When it comes to using artificial intelligence in military settings, there’s no doubt advantages exist. But it’s important to remember that AI is a technology and not a final decision-maker. As such, the ability of AI to effectively prioritize choices based on value, virtue, and experience is limited. It’s capacity to make decisions without bias has also not been clearly demonstrated. Ultimately, complex decisions are just that…complex. And we shouldn’t allow machines to usurp our responsibility to make them. Like many other technologies before it, AI must be implemented with human oversight. This is particularly true for military situations where life and death determinations are all too frequent.

 

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The Latest in Cancer Testing: Liquid Biopsies

Based on recent statistics, cancer remains the second most common cause of death, immediately behind heart disease. In fact, the chance of developing cancer in one’s lifetime is one in five. These statistics persist despite all the recent advances in cancer treatment and care. And therefore, efforts to try and prevent cancer from the start or detect it early remain important pursuits. Unfortunately, screening individuals for cancer is still a challenging endeavor. Many are expensive, and some are invasive, making their feasibility questionable. It’s for these reasons that scientists are hoping that testing blood for cancer might offer better results. Also known as a liquid biopsy, many companies are developing blood tests that could screen for a variety of malignancies.

When it comes to cancer screening tests, the vast majority evaluate patients for one type or another. But imagine if a single sample of blood might provide early detection of several different types at once? The potential for such testing blood for cancer lies within this question. But simply because a liquid biopsy suggests a cancer may be lurking about, it doesn’t mean it should be used. There are many caveats to consider before administering such a test to the masses. First, such a test must be accurate and specific. But it also must improve the risk for illness and death as well. These are the areas where science is still struggling when it comes to creating a comprehensive liquid biopsy for cancers.

(Read up on cancer screening via breathalyzer tests in this Bold story!)

“We screen for four or five cancers in this country, but (many) cancer deaths are coming from cancers that we’re not looking for at all.” –  Dr. Joshua Ofman, President and Chief Medical Officer, Grail, Inc.

Liquid Biopsy Studies

Testing blood for cancer is not something new. Various serum samples have been collected for decades looking for specific cancer markers. In addition, many cancer patients who have received treatment routinely have such cancer markers followed. This can help determine remission or reoccurrence. But modern tests are more refined, testing for tiny DNA fragments known to be associated with various cancer cells. This is why a single liquid biopsy or collection of blood might screen for several different types of malignancies. Notably, several companies are exploring these types of tests aggressively.

One of these companies is Thrive Earlier Detection (acquired by Exact Sciences), which was created by a group of doctors at Johns Hopkins. They have launched large studies involving more than 10,000 women to determine detection rates of cancer using their test. The initial results demonstrated that a quarter of the cancer detected resulted from their liquid biopsy test, which is noteworthy. Another company, Grail, Inc., is currently enrolling 140,000 patients in their study in the United Kingdom. They similar hope that testing blood for cancer using their approach will also greatly increase detection rates. But thus far, study of these screening strategies has a long way to go before a definitive answer is known.

“[Testing blood for cancer] is not at the place where it could be used today. It will need many more studies to demonstrate value.” – Dr. Len Lichtenfeld, Deputy Chief Medical Officer, American Cancer Society

Questions to Be Answered

While the promising results at Thrive are exciting, other studies have not offered similar findings. A 16-year UK study involving over 200,000 women found that early ovarian cancer detection failed to provide better results. Another in Japan also found that mass screening children for cancer failed to change outcomes. Because of this, many scientists are leery of testing blood for cancer in large populations. Indeed, a liquid biopsy might detect a cancer early. But that doesn’t mean such a cancer requires treatment or may respond better to care. In addition, all screening tests have false positives, which can lead to anxiety as well as unnecessary therapies. Unless these issues are better defined, it’s hard to know if these tests are worthwhile.

A lab tech handling some blood vials
Testing blood for cancer is a tried and true method–and the technique is only getting better.

Interestingly, the FDA does not require approval before screening tests like a liquid biopsy is performed. Health insurance companies will not typically cover such tests. That means testing blood for cancer is an out-of-pocket expense. For example, those who wish to have Grail’s liquid biopsy test, they pay just under $1,000 for the results. But despite the lack of approval and cost, some 2,000 doctors already routinely encourage patients to get these tests. There’s little doubt that blood tests for cancer have great potential for better managing cancer. But between the costs and the risks, most medical experts aren’t yet ready to move ahead.

“For a drug, the FDA demands that there is a substantial high likelihood that the benefits not only are proven, but they outweigh the harms. That’s not the case for devices like blood tests.” – Dr. Barry Kramer of the Lisa Schwartz Foundation for Truth in Medicine

Future Potential for Cancer Screening

This past year, the White House established a goal to reduce cancer rates in half within 25 years. Notably, innovative cancer treatments will play a role in realizing this goal. But generally speaking, cancer treatments work better when given in the early stages of a malignancy. This is why the potential for testing blood for cancer is significant. If a simple blood sample could detect multiple cancers earlier, then more cures may be possible. Unfortunately, whether this is actually true or not is not yet known. So many are holding judgment on a liquid biopsy approach until more information is available.

In any case, a liquid biopsy is much safer and less complicated that other screening tests. Tissue biopsies are more invasive with most having possible side effects. Others involve elaborate imaging studies that are often expensive and uncomfortable. Therefore, even if testing blood for cancer proves to be feasible in only a few scenarios, it still offers advantages. The issue right now is simply trying to determine the types of situations where these screening methods make sense. Given that many startups are pursuing additional studies aggressively, that answer will likely be sooner rather than later. And fingers are crossed hoping liquid biopsies can make a significant impact on cancer care.

 

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