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When Actors Age Out, Are Deepfakes the Answer?

Over the last year, there have been numerous videos appear on social media platforms depicting a famous actor or politician. Some of these have been made for entertainment or educational purposes. Others have malintent and are designed to influence what recipients believe about that person or their message. Naturally the intentions matter, but what’s more important is our ability to determine deepfake AI from the real deal. And thus far, the technology seems to be winning with detection capacities lagging behind. As such, AI and disinformation risks are growing.

We live in an era with disinformation and fake news abound. The rise of social media and its capacity to touch millions of people’s lives have contributed to such developments. But advancing technologies in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning are complicating matters to an even greater extent. In fact, the ability to tell what’s real and what’s constructed through deepfake AI has become increasingly difficult. And it now appears that AI and disinformation has extended into film and entertainment as well.

“Now that we live in a society of social media channels and information on demand, this world has become flooded with phony or even fraudulent information. Spam has grown into social spam.” – Lutz Finger, Faculty at Cornell University and President of Product and Technology at Marpai Health

Will the Real Bruce Willis Stand Up

Recently reported in multiple news outlets, the likeness of Bruce Willis appeared in a Russian advertisement. A Russian company, Deepcake, created Willis’s image using deepfake AI. By using old film segments of Willis from prior movies, AI was used to superimpose his image on another actor. In watching the commercial, it’s quite challenging to tell that it’s not Bruce Willis himself, although a notably younger version. And this is just one such example as of late. Similar deepfake technology efforts have used AI and disinformation regarding other actors. A deepfake Tom Cruise has gained significant popularity on TikTok as has ones involving Keanu Reeves.

These developments in deepfake AI certainly offer some important benefits. For example, such AI likenesses for Bruce Willis might be welcomed. The actor recently retired as a result of suffering from language problems known as aphasia. Plus, these technologies could save filmmaking producers millions by replacing expensive CGI technologies. But more concerning is the impact it might have on entertainment and actors in general. The rights concerning an actor’s voice and image are certainly their own. But currently, there are no laws or restrictions preventing deepfake companies pursuing such videos. This could be detrimental in many ways, including creating AI and disinformation campaigns to actors’ detriment.

(Artificial intelligence in film making? Yes, it’s real, and Bold has the story.)

“[Deepfake AI] pollutes the information ecosystem, and it casts a shadow on all content, which is already dealing with the complex fog of war. The next time the president goes on television, some people might think, ‘Wait a minute — is this real?’” – Hany Farid, Professor at the University of California, Berkeley

From Actors to Politicians and Leaders

In considering AI and disinformation risks related to deepfakes, there is greater concern when it involves world leaders. For recent elections, a tremendous amount of deepfake AI videos have emerged creating serious confusion. Some have involved former President Obama as part of an educational campaign highlighting the potential for deepfake AI. Others involving Hilary Clinton and former President Trump have fewer desirable intentions but are just as impressive. One of the most notable ones even involved Ukraine’s President Zelensky allegedly forfeiting the war with Russia. While AI and disinformation involving actors is one thing, these types of videos are on a much more concerning level.

A cartoon person who is apparently fake
For the entertainment industry, deepfake AI can be good; for politics, not so much.

The use of deepfake AI to expand actors’ longevity is one thing. But all recognize the potential for harm when deepfake AI and disinformation is used for political advantage. In this regard, Facebook, Microsoft, and Google have all invested efforts to better detect deepfake videos and content. So has a number of other companies with their own version of deepfake detection software. Some of the ones available today include Counter.social, deeptrace, Reality Defender, and Sensity.ai. But to date, these programs aren’t very effective. Collectively, they have about a 65% accuracy rate, which isn’t too impressive. And even Microsoft’s Azure Cognitive Screen gets fooled 78% of the time. In essence, AI technologies are well ahead of cybersecurity software that can detect them. And this is particularly true for deepfake content that is well done.

“If you look at other contexts globally where the deepfake is poor quality, or of good enough quality to create room for doubt, and it’s not so easy to challenge it directly.” – Sam Gregory of Witness, a human rights group

AI and Disinformation Prevention Strategies

While social media and Internet companies are investing in deepfake AI detection, this alone is not reliable. Like spam filters when widespread email communications were introduced, it will take some time for this software to catch up. Thus, in the meantime, other strategies will be important in examining the use of AI and disinformation dissemination. Perhaps the most important strategy is simply one of education. Learning to scrutinize sources of information and cross-checking content is essential. It’s no longer enough to say that “seeing is believing” because deepfake AI is simply becoming too good.

Other important strategies in detecting AI and disinformation still need to be better developed. One approach relates to greater transparency of sources of information. An advertisement might contain what looks to be Bruce Willis. But without knowing its source, it will be hard to know for sure. However, if digital videos and other content were registered like non-fungible tokens, source verification could be known. In turn, the specific source could play a role in determining its accuracy. Finally, greater digital regulations surrounding image and voice rights need to be in place. When is it ok to use an actor’s or politician’s likeness without their permission, if ever? These are the types of questions that must be asked in order to better define the deepfake AI landscape. In some instances, deepfakes may indeed offer a great solution to a problem. But it’s clear they’re not the answer to all problems, especially when the risks of AI and disinformation are high.

 

Good morning, Vietnam! Read about how manufacturing is shifting to this Southeast Asian nation in this Bold story!

Apple Has Diversified iPhone Production to India

If you haven’t noticed, there has been an evolving shift in manufacturing trends over the last two years. In part, this reflects the setbacks in supply chain operations related to the pandemic. But this isn’t the only factor encouraging change. In fact, foreign relations and risks linked to a lack of diversification also are playing role. Understanding this, it’s perhaps not too surprising that Apple is making moves for its iPhone 14 production in India. Instead of relying on China, the company is hoping to mitigate potential future setbacks. Thus, Apple manufacturing in India reflects a pattern that many companies are considering as of late.

For many years, China has been the go-to place for manufacturing operations. Inexpensive labor with skilled workers has led to an increasing number of firms adopting outsourcing strategies there. In this regard, Apple has been no different. But the company now finds itself in the middle of several political developments that impose potential risks. Plus, choosing iPhone 14 production in India offers the opportunity to make gains in low-penetration markets. The recent announcements related to Apple’s decision regarding its iPhone 14 are just a hint of what’s to come. And on a larger scale, it is likely that other manufacturers beyond electronics may follow suit.

(Growth through outsourcing is an effective business strategy–learn more in this Bold story.)

“The new iPhone 14 lineup introduces groundbreaking new technologies and important safety capabilities. We’re excited to be manufacturing iPhone 14 in India.” – Apple company statement

Apple’s Recent Shifts in Manufacturing

Apple recently made the announcement that 5% of its iPhone 14 assembly would take place in India. Foxconn, Apple’s partner in manufacturing, will head the assembly process in a factory just outside of Chennai. Of course, this isn’t the first time for Apple manufacturing in India for its products. Since 2017, Apple has assembled older iPhone versions in both Brazil and India. But it will be the first time for iPhone 14 production in India as the company looks to reduce reliance on China. Though the percentage of iPhone 14 assembly is small, Apple hopes to advance this to 25% by 2025. This would naturally reduce its reliance on Chinese manufacturing significantly.

Interestingly, an increase in Apple manufacturing in India is well-aligned with other recent decisions. Within the last few months. Apple also indicated it would be manufacturing products in Vietnam as well. Specifically, Apple plans to manufacture 20% of its iPads and Apple Watches there by 2025. It also will be producing half of its Apple Air Pods there by then as well. All of this shows that concerns exist for the company in the aftermath of the pandemic. China’s continued anti-COVID restrictions have perpetuated manufacturing and supply chain problems. And this, combined with other developments, are likely why the company is choosing greater iPhone 14 production in India.

(Good morning, Vietnam! Apple’s setting up shop there, too.)

“Apple has a strong momentum in India. India is among the 20+ countries in the world where the premiumization trend has just started.” – Tarun Pathak, Research Director at Counterpoint Research

Market Motivations for Change

Given the pressures of the pandemic, it isn’t surprising that diversification strategies aren’t leading to Apple manufacturing in India. However, moving to Apple iPhone 14 production in India from China is being encouraged by other variables as well. One of the most notable ones involves Apple’s desire to tap into India’s smartphone market. Despite Apple’s prominence elsewhere, it has only acquired about 4% of India’s market. China’s Xiaomi and Samsung continue to be the market leaders in the country. It’s also worth noting that India is the second largest smartphone market to China. These two statistics alone would prompt companies like Apple to have a greater presence in the country for local manufacturing. If Apple could advance its market share there, it has tremendous potential to advance sales and revenues.

Someone holding a box for an iPhone
Apple manufacturing in India, along with Vietnam, means greater diversification and less reliance on China.

Of course, simply boosting Apple manufacturing in India isn’t necessarily going to improve the company’s market share. However, there is one important trend that suggests it might. Over the last 2 years, there’s been a premiumization trend in many nations where consumers opt for quality and brand. Consumers are increasingly choosing to pay extra for a brand that offers better features and is a status symbol. Certainly, Apple fits that category, and India is among the top 20 nations experiencing this premiumization trend. That’s another reason why iPhone 14 production in India might be a very good idea for Apple.

“Even as Apple pushed ahead with plans, the company was careful not to antagonize China’s ruling Communist Party since the vast majority of its products are still made there…Apple reminded its Taiwanese suppliers to label components destined for China as made in ‘Chinese Taipei’ or ‘Taiwan, China’,” – Daisuke Wakabayashi and Tripp Mickle, The New York Times

Political Pressures Also Driving Shifts

Pandemic effects and market incentives are not the only reasons for Apple manufacturing in India. In addition to these drivers, there have also been political pressures as of late. It is well known that U.S. and China relations have been increasingly tense. This certainly has encouraged greater diversification with the iPhone 14 production in India being one solution. High export tariffs from China imposed by the U.S. as well as increased shipping costs increase production costs. Likewise, Chinese domestic policies continue to cause problems. Frequent shutdowns within China of manufacturing plants due to COVID continue to occur creating delays in manufacturing. Without a means to change such policies, the only good option is to look elsewhere.

More recently, however, Apple faces additional political challenges related to its manufacturing in Taiwan. Relations between China and Taiwan have worsened as of late, and China insists its governance of the island. As such, Apple has required its vendors in Taiwan to label manufactured products there with the required “China Taipei” label. In addition, Apple has also removed Taiwanese flags from their emoji options for Chinese and Hong Kong users. All of this shows how China’s political stance combined with Apple’s manufacturing alliances pose risks. As a result, the decision for Apple manufacturing in India seems like a smart one. By choosing iPhone production in India, even partially, it begins to give Apple options for the future. Such a diversification strategy is not only smart for business but for politics as well. In considering whether India or Apple is the beneficiary presently, it’s likely Apple will be the winner in the long run.

 

Good morning, Vietnam! Read about how manufacturing is shifting to this Southeast Asian nation in this Bold story!

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