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Trump Needs to Move Boldly to Stop Regulatory Overreach

Last February, Carrier Corp., a unit of United Technologies, said it would shutter its Indianapolis plant employing 1,400 workers and move its manufacturing to Mexico. The plant’s workers would have been laid off over three years starting in 2017. United Technologies Electronic Controls also announced then that it planned to move its Huntington manufacturing operations to a new plant in Mexico, costing the northeastern Indiana city 700 jobs by 2018. Those workers make microprocessor-based controls for the HVAC and refrigeration industries.

Carrier wasn’t the only company Trump assailed during the campaign. He pledged to give up Oreos after Nabisco’s parent, Mondelez International, said it would replace nine production lines in Chicago with four in Mexico. He criticized Ford after the company said it planned to invest $2.5 billion in engine and transmission plants in Mexico.

Recently President elect Trump scored a big win by speaking directly to Carrier’s parent company saying “it’s important to keep jobs here.” His jawboning United Technologies saved some 1,400 jobs by convincing the company not to relocate its plant in Mexico. But jawboning alone is not going to bring back jobs that are lost through globalization and advances in technology that have fundamentally changed how markets operate.

Curiously, the mainstream press did not report why companies such as United Technologies, have been induced to move plants out of the U.S. in the first place. One of several  hidden drivers of such decisions is the regulatory and tax burden U.S. companies face. In Carrier’s case the company is mandated to produce certain levels of efficiencies in its air conditioners and HVAC units.  These units must maintain the same standard of efficiency —in this case 92 percent –regardless of where it is used. So what is required in California isn’t necessary for Texas or Michigan yet the per unit cost to maintain a high uniform standard becomes prohibitive particularly when a U.S. plant must compete with competitors with lower cost plants in Mexico or South Korea.

In short, the one size fits all regulatory model that the federal government imposes on manufacturers forces companies into difficult trade-offs such as transferring production elsewhere.  The fact that the minimum wage in Mexico is $4.19 an hour compared with the $23 an hour that Carrier’s union employees earn does not help. But wage differentials alone are not the most significant measure that affects make or buy decisions. Productivity matters more and the use of advanced technology in today’s manufacturing environment is what makes the biggest difference. According to non-profit advocacy group the Reshoring Initiative, offshoring resulted in a net loss of approximately 220,000 manufacturing jobs from 2000 to 2003. However, according to the group, the country added roughly as many jobs due to foreign investment and reshoring as it lost to offshoring last year. Some of the largest U.S.-based companies, likely for both public relations and practical reasons, have begun building factories domestically for operations that would likely have gone overseas a few years ago.

Many people regard regulatory costs as primarily a business problem. But, the costs of excessive regulation inevitably are paid by consumers in the form of higher prices and fewer product choices. Virtually every product and service—from toilets and television sets to health care and the Internet—costs significantly more because of the government’s expansive compendium of dos and don’ts. The regulatory excesses have also swelled the ranks of bureaucrats and the federal budget.

In the seven years of the Obama Administration, new major regulations increased regulatory costs by more than $100 billion a year, according to the Cato Institute. Beyond these direct costs, these excessive rules hinder job creation and innovation while undermining Americans’ fundamental freedoms. The coming of the new administration will hopefully reverse this disastrous course. But it cannot come through jawboning alone. In his Gettysburg speech earlier this year, Trump called for the elimination of two existing federal regulations for every one that is enacted. Let’s hope he holds to this pledge.

Will Trump Avoid Infrastructure Mistakes?

Since the election on November 9,  the press and pundits are discussing new infrastructure projects that might get implemented by the new President-Elect Trump.  The New York Times recently suggested Trump should follow the lead of Franklin Delano Roosevelt and do something big to the U.S. infrastructure.  Something that is lasting.  We believe some of the advice that is being offered by the NY Times and others is deeply flawed.  We hope the President-Elect and his advisors avoid some of the breakdowns in thinking and failures that President Obama implemented.

It is well known now the solar industry investments and incentives the Obama administration implemented were utter failures.  High profile bankruptcies to politically connected companies included Solyndra and much more were a total waste of taxpayer money.  Marita Noon, Executive Director of Energy Makes America Great, has done much positive work identifying the failures.  Her article “Obama Never Admits Green Failure” published in Townhall outlines 27 bankruptcies and describes the decisions as the worst of crony capitalism.

The NY Times story suggested a number of infrastructure projects that Bold Business believes have the makings of failure and more crony capitalism.  The NY Times story, in particular, asked Dan McNichol, author of the book “The Roads That Built America,” to name 10 infrastructure projects the President-Elect should consider.  McNichol named 4 rail projects, Northeast Corridor Maglev at $100 Billion, California High-Speed Rail at $65 billion, Texas bullet train at $10 billion and the Maryland Purple Line at $5.6 billion.  We hope the President-Elect stays away from these potential boondoggle investments.  High-speed rail systems built will be obsolete the day they go into service.

Bold Impacts On Transportation Infrastructure

Even the LA Times published an Op-Ed written by Dick Startz, professor of economics at UC Santa Barbara, titled “Smart’ highways, not bullet trains, for California”  criticizing the highly touted California High-Speed Rail project.  Startz argues that for $2 Billion, about 3% of the proposed High-Speed Rail build cost, California could build smart highways that will be not only less expensive but more in line with where technology is headed.

The Superbus project, led by Dutch astronaut professor Wubbo Ockels of the Delft University of Technology until his death in 2014 envisages a comfortable, demand-dependent door-to-door transportation rivaling the car and the train.
The Superbus project characterizes a comfortable, door-to-door transportation service to rival the car and the train.

The Dutch, for example, have already built a 23 passenger limo, called the SuperBus, that offers speeds of 160 mph.  This speed is not far from the 220 mph rail proposal and it would be more efficient as smart highways offer more “where-you-want/when-you-want access” that shortens travel times.  In addition, it could go into use much sooner the projected 2028 implementation date for California High-Speed Rail. And it has a striking resemblance to the Bat Mobile!

Bat Mobile
Bat Mobile
The Electric 23 seat SuperBus some have said has a similar look as the BatMobile
A sideview of the electric powered 23 seat SuperBus.  Some have said it has a similar look to the BatMobile.

Robert Poole, Searle Freedom Trust Transportation Fellow and Director of Transportation Policy at the Reason Foundation, has for several years written and studied the feasibility of high-speed rail vs highway investment.  He reinforces Startz thinking about the cost and benefit advantages highway investments offer.  Poole is also optimistic that the President-Elect may avoid some of the Obama Administration’s wasted investments.  “I am encouraged by what I see,” he said.  See Poole’s Reason TV Q&A “Will Trump Make Infrastructure Great Again?”  He also in the Q&A discusses Obama’s vision for a nationwide high-speed rail system.  He says, ” It was completely foolish.”  Poole also referred to the California Rail deal as the “ridiculous California boondoggle and with the new administration it is effectively dead.”

Bold Business hopes the Trump Administration will make smart decisions that will lead to Bold Impact for U.S. Infrastructure.  Poorly thought out projects like McNichol’s suggestions in the NY Times “Trump-Size Idea for a New President:  Build Something Inspiring” should be ignored.  Technology is rapidly changing the options and costs of these initiatives.  We share Bob Poole’s optimism about the future Trump Administration’s early moves and thinking.  Practical projects with the 3P’s, (Private-Public Partnerships), will help avoid massive wastes.

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